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PERAMALAN JUMLAH PANEN PADI MENGGUNAKAN METODE TREND MOMENT DI KECAMATAN JENU KABUPATEN TUBAN

NEVA ELY MARLINA - Personal Name; Ahmad Zaenal Arifin - Personal Name;

Kecamatan Jenu merupakan salah satu wilayah Kabupaten Tuban yang sebagian besar daerah nya merupakan daerah pertanian yang lebih didominasi tanaman padi. Namun, luas lahan tidak diimbangi dengan konsistennya hasilpanen padiyang setiap tahun selalu
berubah-ubah. Berdasarkan kondisi tersebut, maka diperlukan sebuah metode yang
mampu meramalkan hasil panen padi agar para petani dapat mengetahui berapa perkiraan
panen padi. Oleh karena itu penulis mencoba untuk menerapkan Metode Trend Moment
dan metode Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) untuk memprediksi hasil panen padi di
Kecamatan Jenu Kabupaten Tuban. Dari perhitungan menggunakan metode Trend Momend di dapatkan hasil peramalan peramalan panen Kecamatan Jenu pada tahun 2017 menggunakan metode Trend Moment sebanyak 20.946,6617 ton. Dengan n ilai eror yang cukup kecil yaitu 0,11203044.


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Indonesia
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Peramalan, Metode Trend Moment, Mean Absolute Devi
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